Region
Central Coast
1 advisory
Modeled beaches
62
of 71 beaches
Coverage
87%
Live conditions
LIVE
Daily beta forecast · Sep 15, 1:42 PM
Know before you paddle out.
Daily forecast across 9 of every 10 California surf spots — 237 of 260 ocean-facing beach groups.
Featured beach
Huntington State Beach
Orange County
Low
Low chance of high bacteria.
Low modeled risk — still check posted signs.
Exceed chance
3%
Latest official sample
Sampled 42 days ago
Wave height
2.2 ft
Water temperature
75°F
xgb-undersample-ensemble-curated-v0Beta forecast·stable recent conditions with no strong environmental signal
252
forecast groups shown
726
modeled stations
74%
grouped coast coverage
Today's beta forecast
What the coast looks like right now.
Regional cards summarize modeled beach coverage. Spotlight cards below point to real beaches in today's export, not placeholder marketing content.
Updated Sep 15, 2026
Region
Los Angeles
6 advisories
Modeled beaches
56
of 69 beaches
Coverage
81%
Region
San Diego
4 advisories
Modeled beaches
53
of 85 beaches
Coverage
62%
Region
San Francisco Bay
13 advisories
Modeled beaches
48
of 60 beaches
Coverage
80%
Region
North Coast
0 advisories
Modeled beaches
17
of 35 beaches
Coverage
49%
Region
Santa Ana
0 advisories
Modeled beaches
8
of 11 beaches
Coverage
73%
Beach spotlights
Open a real beach card.
San Diego County
Imperial Beach municipal beach, other (Cortez Ave)
Very HighBeta forecast
Risk
100%
Wave
2.5 ft
Water
73°F
stable recent conditions with no strong environmental signal
San Diego County
Imperial Beach pier area (Imperial Beach Pier)
Very HighBeta forecast
Risk
100%
Wave
2.5 ft
Water
73°F
recent sample at 20.7x the action value for bacteria
San Diego County
Baja California, MEXICO (Playas Blanca MEX)
Very HighBeta forecast
Risk
92%
Wave
1.9 ft
Water
76°F
stable recent conditions with no strong environmental signal
San Diego County
Imperial Beach municipal beach, other (End of Seacoast Dr)
Very HighBeta forecast
Risk
88%
Wave
2.5 ft
Water
73°F
stable recent conditions with no strong environmental signal
San Diego County
north Imperial Beach (Carnation Ave.)
Very HighBeta forecast
Risk
74%
Wave
2.5 ft
Water
73°F
stable recent conditions with no strong environmental signal
San Diego County
Coronado City beaches (Loma Ave (frmrly Isabella)
Very HighBeta forecast
Risk
71%
Wave
2.5 ft
Water
73°F
stable recent conditions with no strong environmental signal
Research roadmap
What is live, and what is still research.
Shorelife’s production forecast is narrow on purpose. Only fecal indicator bacteria risk is live today. The rest of this section is roadmap, not disguised feature scope.
Active
Fecal indicator bacteria
The live daily forecast estimates Enterococcus exceedance risk from official California sample history plus coastal and weather covariates.
Planned
Weather-forecast-driven risk
Planned. Wire forward-looking weather forecasts — precipitation, wind, solar radiation — directly into the bacteria forecast so the daily estimate reflects tomorrow's conditions rather than the last 24 hours of observations.
Planned
Additional bacterial indicators
Planned. Expand beyond marine Enterococcus to include freshwater E. coli, fecal coliform, and ddPCR-based source-tracking markers as supplementary public risk signals.
Open artifacts
Read the sources behind the forecast.
This section only links to real documents, real routes, and the real repository. No fabricated authors, no fake download counters, no decorative placeholder artifacts.
Method
Methodology
Model design, promotion rules, limitations, and scientific references.
Read page
Research
Risk labels
How public bands map to exceedance thresholds and why unsupported sites stay neutral.
Read page
Research
Data sources
BeachWatch, CDIP, NDBC, Open-Meteo, USGS, and the curated warehouse behind the forecast.
Read page
Research
Calibration
Production metrics, spatial holdouts, and the latest promotion status from pipeline output.
Read page
Open data
Model registry JSON
The tracked model-version artifact in the public repository.
Open link
Code
Source repository
Backend, mobile, web, and data pipeline code for the Shorelife stack.
Open link